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MORNING MARKET COMMENTARY

Stock Indexes
Mid-Cap Index Ends Above Short-Term And Long-Term Averages

The economic news was fairly good today, and stocks responded with a decent rally.

The rally was a surprise because the Labor Department will release its August jobs report before Friday's open. The stock market normally does little the day before the report and had the potential to fall back today after Wednesday's big rally.

The economic news was helped by better-than-expected reports on jobless claims and pending home sales. Plus, retailers reported  favorable August sales.

The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) were up 51 points to 10,320, their third straight gain and fourth in the last five sessions. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was up 10 points to 1,090, and the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was up 23 points to 2,200. 

The unemployment report, which will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET, is always the month's most important economic report. It's especially important this month because of rising fears that the U.S. economic recovery is stalling out. 

Friday's report is expected to show U.S. unemployment rising slightly to 9.6%. 

Private payrolls are expected to grow by perhaps 30,000 while nonfarm payrolls will shrink by 110,000. That's part of the shrinkage in workers employed by the Census Bureau for the 2010 Census. 

Normally, the United States needs to add 100,000 to 150,000 nonfarm jobs a month to absorb the natural increase in the working population and trim the unemployment rate, economists say. 
 
So far this year, the economy has added about 90,000 private-sector workers a month. Most of the increase took place in the early spring. Job growth tapered off over the summer.

Energy prices -- New York close
 

Thur.

Wed.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Crude oil 

$75.02

$73.91

-4.98%

-5.47%
(per barrel)











Heating oil

$2.0623

$2.0411

-1.24%

-2.52%
(per gallon)











Natural gas 

$3.7510

$3.7620

-23.81%

-32.68%
(per mil. BTU)











Unleaded gasoline

$1.9078

$1.9148

-9.46%

-6.40%
(per gallon)











Retail gasoline

$2.6780

$2.6780

-2.30%

1.48%
(per gallon; AAA)











Deals help the market

Deals were a part of today's market. Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) finally won computer storage maker 3Par (PAR) with a $33-a-share bid. Dell (DELL), which had earlier bid $32, walked away. 

3Par rose 2.5% to $32.88 and is up 240% since Aug. 9, when Dell offered its first bid for the company. HP was up 1.2% to $39.68, and Dell was up 2% to $12.36.  3Par

In addition, Burger King Group (BKC) agreed to be bought out by  3G Capital for $4 billion, or $24 a share, a 46% premium over Wednesday's closing price. Talk of the potential deal began circulating after reports in The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times. Burger King shares were up 25.1% to $23.59.

A surprisingly broad rally
Today's rally was not only a surprise because it occurred at all, but it was surprisingly broad. Nine of the 10 sectors of the S&P 500 were higher, and 42 of 43 indexes tracked by Market Dispatches showed gains.

The leaders were disk-drive makers, retailers, semiconductors and homebuilders. Metals and energy shares moved higher as gold, copper and crude oil prices moved higher. 

Twenty-four of the 30 Dow stocks were higher, led by Alcoa (AA), up 3% to $10.83. Merck (MRK) was the laggard, down 0.8% to $35.35. 

Ninety stocks in the Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX.X) were higher, led byFlextronics (FLEX)Broadcom (BRCM) and SanDisk (SNDK). ThePhiladelphia Semiconductor Index ($SOX) was up 7 points to 323.

Crude oil settled up $1.11 to $75.02 a barrel in a rally that accelerated on news of another rig explosion off the Louisiana coast in the Gulf of Mexico. The explosion occurred on a production platform operated by Mariner Energy (ME) south of Vermilion Bay. 

Mariner shares fell nearly 16% on the first reports but recovered most of the loss, finishing off 2.6% to $22.75.

Gold settled up $5.30 to $1,253.40 an ounce. That's $3.80 below its highest close of $1,257.20 on June 18. Gold is up 14.3% this year.

Interest rates were higher, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 2.632% from 2.582% on Wednesday. The dollar was lower against major currencies. 

Economy shows small signs of life
What gave the market real support were two economic reports: 

Better jobless claims. The number of new people filing for unemployment insurance fell by 6,000 to 472,000 during the week ended Aug. 28, the Labor Department said. Economists had expected to see an increase of 2,000, according to Briefing.com. Many analysts regard the weekly report is a leading indicator on jobs claims. 

Possible stability in home sales. The National Association of Realtors said the number of contracts to buy previously owned homes rose 5.2% in July, better than expected. Gains were seen across the country, the trade association said. Economists had expected the index to fall 1.1%. The index tumbled a revised 2.8% in June.

The report on pending home sales allayed some fears of a double-dip recession, but it didn't generate much excitement. 

"We’re growing at a mediocre clip," Stephen Stanley, the chief economist at Pierpont Securities in Stamford, Conn., told Bloomberg News. "We just haven’t rebounded sufficiently from the severe recession."

The Commerce Department said factory orders rose 0.1% in July after declining a revised 0.6% in June, falling short of economists' estimates for 0.3% growth. Excluding transportation, orders fell 1.5% in July. Theoretically, the  weak report contrasts with Wednesday's better-than-expected manufacturing report from the Institute for Supply Management. But the ISM report also noted slowing order growth. 

Retailers: August wasn't too bad

Retailers had a better August than expected. Early indications suggested weak back-to-school sales. 
Target (TGT) said same-store sales rose 1.8%, short of the 2% gain analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected. But The Wall Street Journal noted that the sale increase was in line with company estimates. Shares rose 0.6% to $52.55.

Department store Macy's (M) said same-store sales climbed 4.3%, beating the 4% increase analysts had forecast. Shares were up 2.6% to $20.71.  

Costco Wholesale (COST) said comparable-store sales rose 7%; shares rose 1.4% to $58.59. 

Family Dollar (FDO) said its sales increased 6.1% in its fiscal fourth quarter. Shares were up 0.5% at $43.50.

Kohl's (KSS) said sales were up 4.5% from a year ago; analysts had expected 2.6%. J.C. Penney (JCP) said sales grew 2.3%, but analysts had expected only a 1.6% gain. 

Del Monte drops after trimming guidance

Del Monte (DLM) shares fell 2.5% to $12.83 after the company reduced its full-year sales growth target to 1% to 3%. 

Del Monte's previous sales growth guidance was in the range of 2% to 4%. The company reaffirmed its full-year earnings from continuing operations forecast of $1.38 to $1.42 a share.

 Stocks ended higher on Thursday as investors digested a slew of economic data. Thursday's reported volume totals were lower on the NYSE and Nasdaq exchange compared to Wednesday's levels. Advancers led decliners by over a2-to-1ratio on the NYSE and by a3-to-2ratio on the Nasdaq exchange.The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to hold interest rates steady, near record lows, when they met on Thursday. ECB president Jean Claude Trichet said the ECB is ready to extend emergency bank lending if needed. In the US, retail sales unexpectedly topped estimates thanks to holiday tax incentives, and pending sales of existing homes also beat estimates while rising+5.2%in July. Meanwhile, mortgage rates fell to+4.32%which is the lowest level in decades. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell by6,000to472,000last week which matched the Street's forecast. Investors are now waiting for August's official non-farm payrolls report to be released before Friday's open.

Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. It was encouraging to see a flurry of high-ranked leaders trigger fresh technical buy signals and break out of sound bases. The next important level to watch for the major averages are their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines. It is important to note that approximately75%of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while25%fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.





Making Headlines

· 
· NYMET Holdings Inc. (NYMH) Announces Execution of Long Term Supply of Iron Ore From Chile, South America
· Oteegee Innovations' Acquisition Target Grail Semiconductor Progresses With Claims and Prepares to Revolutionize Multi-Billion Dollar Semiconductor Industry
· AlphaTrade.com to Introduce Robust Online Trading Platform
· Dallas Cup International Youth Soccer Tournament Endorses WebSafety's Suite of Mobile and Internet Safety Technologies
· Welwind Energy International Negotiates Terms and Conditions for Inner Mongolia Financing -- Opens Office in Hong Kong
· Minerco Resources, Inc. Receives Formal Approval From Surrounding Communities for Its Chiligatoro Hydro-Electric Project
· Generex Oncology Names Dr. Craig Eagle to Its Scientific Advisory Board to Assist With Its Proprietary Cancer Vaccines Program



Profiles: NYMET Holdings, Inc (NYMH)
Thursday, August 05 @ 18:50:46 MST by admin (318 reads)
Company ProfilesNYMH is a metals recycling and commodities trading company. NYMH sells commodities both domestically and internationally and holds strategic alliances across the metals recycling and processing industries.

(Read More... | 1687 bytes more | comments? | Profiles | Score: 0)

Profiles: Alphatrade, Inc. (APTD)
Friday, July 30 @ 19:19:54 MST by admin (162 reads)
Company Profiles
About AlphaTrade.com

AlphaTrade.com provides both real-time and delayed stock market quotes to subscribers via the Internet. As of December 31, 2009, the Company had five diversified revenue streams: real time stock quotes - E-Gate; financial information for Websites - E-Trax, and advertising, Web design and Web hosting services. The Company has three Websites all providing information and services that compliment all of its products, including www.alphatrade.com, www.zenobank.com and http://finance.alphatrade.com.

(Read More... | 1338 bytes more | comments? | Profiles | Score: 0)

Profiles: ProtoKinetix Inc. (PKTX)
Saturday, May 15 @ 15:15:13 MST by admin (262 reads)
Company ProfilesProtoKinetix Inc. (PKTX)


BUSINESS SUMMARY

ProtoKinetix (OTCBB:PKTX) is a biotech company focused on developing and licensing patented anti-aging glycopeptides (AAGP™) to the health care, biotechnology and skin care/cosmetic industries. Since 2005, ProtoKinetix has been engaged in groundbreaking scientific research. Several recent tests and trials on ProtoKinetix’ AAGP™ cryopreservation (freezing cells to -196°C) has shown promising results across multiple cell lines. AAGP™ molecules have demonstrated to enhance the health and extend the life of cells and seem to carry anti-inflammatory properties. ProtoKinetix is the first company to make a stable and non-toxic version.



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Profiles: Generex Biotechnology Corp. (GNBT)
Sunday, April 25 @ 19:34:10 MST by admin (206 reads)
Company ProfilesGenerex Biotechnology Corp. (GNBT) 



Generex is engaged in the research, development and commercialization of drug delivery systems and technologies. 


(Read More... | 1290 bytes more | comments? | Profiles | Score: 0)

  
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